The Arizona Voter Project

Maps and models of Arizona's electorate — registration, turnout, party movement, and shared opinion.

Beta. Every module below is a beta release. Figures and underlying data are preliminary, under active development, and will migrate to the official project website.

Take the story tour Open the Explorer

Modules

My Story

Guided tour

Who is registered, where they live, and whether they voted — never who they voted for. Scroll from counties to congressional districts.

The Explorer

Choropleth · time series

Explore characteristics of the Arizona voter file, aggregated to counties, districts, precincts, ZCTAs, tracts, and block groups.

Party Transitions

Sankey · Markov model

Movement between party registrations from a continuous-time Markov model, so irregular file windows share one rate clock, with steady-state projections.

Common Ground

Overlap

How much do Arizonans actually overlap? An overlapping-coefficient (OVL) tool measuring shared opinion across party, race, religion, and demographics.

Voting

Precinct analytics

Precinct-level turnout and vote distributions, with county comparisons.

Opinion

Survey

Opinion measures alongside the registration and turnout record.

Understanding the file

Reference

Field definitions, de-identification, small-cell suppression, party buckets, and build-over-build comparisons.

Charts